Tuesday, December 1, 2015

On the Kogi Conundrum

Wada & late Audu... before it all went down

I’m worried about this Kogi matter. I know we always disagree on political matters but don’t you think, like me, that my party the APC is wrong? I just want to pick your brain if you don’t mind.

Pick the brain of a clueless man? Hahahaha!

No, wailer, it’s not a laughing matter. I’ve just heard the final decision of APC. They decided to pick Bello – who did not participate in the election – to be the party candidate. Why not Faleke who participated in the election as Audu’s running mate? I think the party is wrong.

But why do you think so?

In a relay race, if the frontrunner falls down before handing over the baton, will the team give the baton to the member who was not on the line-up in the first instance?

That’s an unfortunate analogy that favours the PDP.

What’s that supposed to mean?

Simple. In a relay race, if the frontrunner trips and falls or drops the baton before the finish line, the second runner is automatically declared winner of the race! You forgot that the race was not concluded; the front runner had covered just about two-thirds of the track before dropping the baton.

Haba! But this is not a typical relay race. I’m using it only as an analogy.

And I say to you that it’s a poor analogy. Don’t promote that idea or you’ll end up strengthening the PDP position. Even if we take it as an individual race, which I consider a better (but not the best) analogy, you will still see that Faleke or whatever his name is will not be considered at all.

How is that?

In a typical competition, the final runners (flagbearers) are chosen from the individual heats (party primaries). The heat champions are the final runners. If the heat champions then decide to go with training partners (running mates), this will have no effect on the race. If for any reason any one of the heat champions fails to run the final race, the selected partner will not step in and run, as long as that partner did not participate in the qualifying heats. If a heat champion started the race as front-runner but drops the baton before getting to the finish line, the runner in the second position wins the race.

You are saying INEC should give it to PDP, ba? Why was I expecting an objective analysis from you? Kai.

No please, Mummed, that’s not what I’m saying. Understand that my point is that your analogy gives PDP, not APC, an advantage. However, this is not a typical race because the umpire decided to SUSPEND the race and went back to ask the particular heat organizer to submit a fresh leg to complete the race. This does not happen in a typical race so we’re facing an abnormal situation. However, since this is what the umpire decided, it makes sense to pick the next best performer from the primaries, not someone who NEVER participated in any of the heats before the final race, regardless of the fact that he was picked as a campaign partner of the heat champion. Mummed, if we go by your analogy, your party is like the old ManU, enjoying unfair advantage from referee. And going by that analogy, the problem is with the umpire.

Umpire?

Yes, in a sense. My point is that (a) if we are looking at this as a track game where the frontrunner fell in the middle of the race, the PDP as second best performer is right to insist on a fresh race if it will not be awarded the race; (b) if it is a track and field game that was suspended while it was already underway because the frontrunner sustained a fatal injury, then your party is right to go back to the result of its qualifying heat and pick the second best performer to finish the race; but (c) if we are looking at it as any other game with clear rules specified, then my party is wrong to insist that it be awarded the race.

Haba! This is interesting, Wailer. You admit that my party can be right and your party is wrong? I want to hear more.

Unfortunately, Mummed, I have to go out. But I promise to visit you tomorrow so we can finish the talk.

You’re welcome to my house any day, as long as the conversation will not favour your PDP and the Wailers!

 (Smiles). See you tomorrow